Half-Point Calculator
Calculate the value of buying or selling half-points for MLB, NCAAF, NFL, NCAA Basketball and NBA odds and totals.
Half-Point Configuration
Standard Number
New line: 2.5
Odds
Value Analysis
Recommendation
AVOID
Poor value. Net cost of 2.1% is too expensive.
Net Value
-2.1%
Negative expected value
Line Movement
3 → 2.5
Buying 0.5 points
Odds Movement
-110 → -130
Change: -20 points
Probability Analysis
Original: 52.4%
Adjusted: 56.5%
Cost: 4.1%
Key Numbers & Strategy
NFL Key Numbers
Most common spread outcomes in NFL:
1. 3 (2% frequency)
2. 7 (2% frequency)
3. 10 (2% frequency)
4. 6 (2% frequency)
5. 4 (2% frequency)
📍 Nearby key numbers: 4
Value Breakdown
Theoretical Value: 2.0%
Actual Cost: 4.1%
Net Value: -2.1%
Strategy Notes
Buying Points: Pay extra juice for a better line
Selling Points: Take worse line for better odds
Key Numbers: Numbers that occur frequently in final scores
Value Threshold: Net positive indicates good value
Sport Context
Sport: NFL
Avg Total: 44
Top Key Numbers: 3, 7, 10